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L
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
M

Lille
2 - 1
Montpellier

Yazici (45+1'), David (57')
Fonte (25'), Andre (33'), Xeka (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Laborde (45+3')
Sambia (24'), Ferri (25'), Laborde (34'), Savanier (56'), Chotard (59'), Mollet (70')
Sambia (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawMontpellier HSC
48.5%26.14%25.36%
Both teams to score 48.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.12%54.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83%76.17%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34%22.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.71%56.29%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.06%36.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27%73.73%
Score Analysis
    Lille 48.49%
    Montpellier HSC 25.36%
    Draw 26.14%
LilleDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.42%
2-0 @ 9.22%
2-1 @ 9.19%
3-0 @ 4.57%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-0 @ 1.7%
4-1 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 48.49%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 8.37%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.33%
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 1.52%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 25.36%

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