Lorient are in better form, but they have not faced a formidable opponent this year, with their two wins coming against an Angers side who are bottom of the Ligue 1 table and a sixth-tier team at the Coupe de France.
Their backline will have to contend with a Monaco side filled with plenty of attacking options and likely to be in a foul mood and eager to close the gap between themselves and a Champions League place.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.04) 
