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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
LL

Lorient
0 - 0
Lens


Mvuka (40'), Mendy (90+1'), Toure (90+4')
FT

Danso (48'), Samba (90+3'), Fulgini (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 1-0 Lorient
Saturday, October 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 4-0 Nantes
Saturday, October 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-1 Lens

Despite an impressive recent unbeaten run, Lens have drawn their fair share of matches this season - five in 13 - and could be set for another in what could be a rather low-key affair. Lorient are strong at home and are often tough to beat - a 3-0 defeat here to Montpellier aside - and Le Bris's side could frustrate Lens despite coming into the game as big underdogs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
LorientDrawLens
17.46% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 21.53% (0.041 0.04) 61% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 51.88% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.76% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)45.24% (0.103 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.42% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)67.58% (0.101 0.1)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.43% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.66% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)14.34% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.8% (-0.113 -0.11)42.2% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 17.46%
    Lens 61%
    Draw 21.53%
LorientDrawLens
1-0 @ 5.26% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 4.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 17.46%
1-1 @ 10.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.53%
0-1 @ 10.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 6.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.42% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.3% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 61%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Lorient
Saturday, October 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Rennes
Sunday, October 22 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 3-3 Lorient
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 0-3 Montpellier
Sunday, October 1 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 5-3 Lorient
Saturday, September 23 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-2 Monaco
Sunday, September 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 4-0 Nantes
Saturday, October 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-1 PSV
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Le Havre 0-0 Lens
Friday, October 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-1 Lille
Sunday, October 8 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Arsenal
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-1 Lens
Friday, September 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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