Lyon still look a little suspect at times defending, but given the form of Lacazette and the kind of creativity they can call upon in the midfield, we expect they will have enough to power past Clermont on New Year's Day.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 67.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 13.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
-0.05) 
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