Rennes have found form in the final third, while Lyon have conceded as many as 30 goals at this stage of a Ligue 1 campaign for the time since 1980. As a result, Les Rouges et Noir should push their hosts all the way - but the help of some new signings could see OL rescue a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
-0.05) 
0.06) 
