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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
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Montpellier
1 - 1
Marseille

Fayad (14')
Jullien (44'), Savanier (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Veretout (52')
Gigot (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Metz 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, December 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-1 Marseille

Marseille are starting to find ways to win, and their attacking depth should be enough to defeat a Montpellier side who are much more compact defensively on home soil but are not quite as dynamic when in possession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawMarseille
34.17%25.47%40.36%
Both teams to score 55.73% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.87% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)48.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.29% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.59%62.41%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38%23.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)57.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 34.17%
    Marseille 40.36%
    Draw 25.47%
Montpellier HSCDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 8.35%
2-1 @ 7.88%
2-0 @ 5.46%
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 34.17%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 6.39%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 9.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-2 @ 6.65%
1-3 @ 4.18%
0-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.74%
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.15%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Lens
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Clermont
Wednesday, November 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Brest
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Nice
Friday, November 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, December 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Marseille
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lorient 2-4 Marseille
Sunday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-0 Lyon
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Rennes
Sunday, December 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 4-3 Ajax
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League


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