Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Montpellier HSC
38.23% ( 0.41)	25.22% ( 0.18)	36.55% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 56.95% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.3% (

-0.87)

46.7% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.04% (

-0.82)

68.96% (

0.83)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.92% (

-0.18)

24.08% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.64% (

-0.25)

58.36% (

0.26)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.01% (

-0.72)

24.99% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.35% (

-1.01)

59.65% (

1.02)

Score Analysis

Nantes 38.23%

Montpellier HSC 36.55%

Draw 25.22%

Nantes	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.23%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.55%