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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 23, 2020 at 4pm UK
Allianz Riviera
LL

Nice
2 - 1
Lens

Gouiri (23', 75')
Dante (10'), Kamara (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kakuta (11' pen.)
Medina (41'), Cahuzac (51'), Boura (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Nice had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
NiceDrawLens
35.89%25.73%38.37%
Both teams to score 55.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.97%49.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.89%71.11%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55%26.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37%61.63%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93%25.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25%59.74%
Score Analysis
    Nice 35.89%
    Lens 38.37%
    Draw 25.73%
NiceDrawLens
1-0 @ 8.82%
2-1 @ 8.11%
2-0 @ 5.86%
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 35.89%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.63%
2-2 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 9.17%
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-2 @ 6.35%
1-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 2.59%
1-4 @ 1.35%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.37%


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