Having tasted victory at Parc des Princes back in April, Lorient will fancy their chances of frustrating PSG once again, although very few teams record back-to-back wins against the perennial Ligue 1 champions.
With that in mind, we expect Les Parisiens to exact revenge on Les Murles by securing a relatively straightforward victory in Enrique's first competitive match as PSG manager.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 15.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
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