Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Dijon win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
