Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pau would win this match.

Result
Pau	Draw	Valenciennes
38.09% ( 0.06)	28.39% ( -0.01)	33.52% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 46.46% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.19% (

0.04)

59.81% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.91% (

0.03)

80.09% (

-0.03)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.65% (

0.06)

30.35% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.46% (

0.06)

66.54% (

-0.07)

Valenciennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.71% (

-0.01)

33.29% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.1% (

-0.02)

69.9% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Pau 38.09%

Valenciennes 33.52%

Draw 28.38%

Pau	Draw	Valenciennes
1-0 @ 12.04% 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.09%	1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.38%	0-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.52%