SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for New York City FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | New York City FC |
48.88% ( -0.14) | 23.28% ( 0) | 27.83% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 60.06% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.97% ( 0.09) | 41.02% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.58% ( 0.09) | 63.41% ( -0.09) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% ( -0.02) | 16.98% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.9% ( -0.03) | 47.09% ( 0.04) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% ( 0.15) | 27.65% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.8% ( 0.19) | 63.19% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | New York City FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 4.1% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 27.83% |
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