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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
62.5% ( 0.38) | 20.02% ( -0.15) | 17.48% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 57.15% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.7% ( 0.34) | 38.3% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.42% ( 0.35) | 60.58% ( -0.35) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.26% ( 0.2) | 11.74% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.12% ( 0.43) | 36.88% ( -0.43) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.75% ( -0.04) | 35.25% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28% ( -0.05) | 72% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.13% Total : 62.5% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.02% | 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 17.48% |
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