SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
45.63% ( 0.35) | 24.1% ( -0.03) | 30.27% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 58.9% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.7% ( -0) | 43.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.31% ( -0.01) | 65.69% ( 0.01) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.84% ( 0.15) | 19.16% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.19% ( 0.24) | 50.81% ( -0.24) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( -0.21) | 27.14% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.46% ( -0.27) | 62.54% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 45.63% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.27% |
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