Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.