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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 13
Jul 4, 2021 at 1am UK
Toyota Park
AU

Chicago Fire
3 - 0
Atlanta

Aliseda (34', 45+6'), Frankowski (58')
Bornstein (26'), Frankowski (31')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bello (27'), Wolff (52'), Walkes (69')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawAtlanta United
39.67%25.42%34.91%
Both teams to score 56.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.23%47.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.04%69.96%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19%23.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02%57.98%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57%26.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4%61.61%
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 39.67%
    Atlanta United 34.91%
    Draw 25.42%
Chicago FireDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.03%
2-1 @ 8.62%
2-0 @ 6.48%
3-1 @ 4.12%
3-0 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.11%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 39.67%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.29%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.38%
1-2 @ 8%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.47%
1-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 34.91%

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