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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
62.28% ( -0.08) | 20.52% ( 0.1) | 17.2% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.73% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.82% ( -0.51) | 41.18% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.42% ( -0.52) | 63.58% ( 0.52) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.32% ( -0.18) | 12.68% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.14% ( -0.37) | 38.86% ( 0.37) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.68% ( -0.33) | 37.32% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.89% ( -0.32) | 74.11% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.49% Total : 62.28% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.52% | 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.2% |
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