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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 11
Jun 20, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Pizza Hut Park
MU

Dallas
1 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Pepi (68')
Pepi (84'), Jara (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fragapane (36')
Dibassy (2'), Gasper (67'), Boxall (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 54.09%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
DallasDrawMinnesota United
54.09%22.18%23.73%
Both teams to score 59.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.43%39.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.08%61.92%
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.36%14.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.23%42.77%
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70%30%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89%66.11%
Score Analysis
    Dallas 54.09%
    Minnesota United 23.73%
    Draw 22.18%
DallasDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.76%
1-0 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 6.25%
3-0 @ 5.19%
3-2 @ 3.76%
4-1 @ 3%
4-0 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 1.15%
5-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 54.09%
1-1 @ 10.16%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 4.39%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 6.12%
0-1 @ 5.29%
0-2 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 23.73%

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