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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Inter Miami |
43.04% ( -0.06) | 23.89% ( 0.02) | 33.07% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.99% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.87% ( -0.05) | 41.13% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.47% ( -0.05) | 63.52% ( 0.06) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.62% ( -0.04) | 19.37% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.82% ( -0.07) | 51.17% ( 0.08) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% ( -0) | 24.36% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.24% | 58.76% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 43.04% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.07% |
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