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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 30
Sep 12, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Robertson Stadium
AF

Houston
3 - 0
Austin

Dorsey (1'), Picault (24', 64')
Picault (39'), Lundqvist (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pochettino (22'), Ring (44'), Berhalter (51')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawAustin FC
54.41%23.6%21.99%
Both teams to score 52.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.17%47.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.99%70.02%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53%17.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.04%47.96%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89%36.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11%72.9%
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 54.4%
    Austin FC 21.99%
    Draw 23.6%
Houston DynamoDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 9.6%
3-1 @ 5.69%
3-0 @ 5.58%
3-2 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 2.48%
4-0 @ 2.44%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 54.4%
1-1 @ 11.21%
0-0 @ 6.31%
2-2 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.6%
0-1 @ 6.43%
1-2 @ 5.71%
0-2 @ 3.27%
1-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 21.99%

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