SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Minnesota United |
50.27% ( -0.61) | 25.1% ( 0.29) | 24.63% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 51.17% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.6% ( -0.89) | 51.4% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.78% ( -0.78) | 73.22% ( 0.79) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.54% ( -0.6) | 20.46% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.08% ( -0.97) | 52.92% ( 0.97) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.33% ( -0.2) | 35.67% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.56% ( -0.21) | 72.44% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.64% Total : 50.26% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.95% Total : 24.63% |
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