SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 51.41%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Portland Timbers |
51.41% ( 0.63) | 24.07% ( -0.23) | 24.52% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 54.26% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.73% ( 0.62) | 47.27% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.51% ( 0.57) | 69.49% ( -0.57) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.61% ( 0.48) | 18.39% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.47% ( 0.81) | 49.53% ( -0.81) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( -0.01) | 33.52% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.85% ( -0) | 70.15% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.37% Total : 51.4% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.33% Total : 24.52% |
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