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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 9
Sep 3, 2020 at 4am UK
Banc of California Stadium
SJ

Los Angeles
5 - 1
Earthquakes

Rossi (21', 69'), Wright-Phillips (49'), Cifuentes (64'), Musovski (83')
Palacios (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hoesen (90+2')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 58.34%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.73% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.18%) and 3-1 (7.04%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
58.34%19.93%21.73%
Both teams to score 65.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.9%31.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.49%52.52%
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.35%10.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.5%34.5%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12%26.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81%62.2%
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 58.34%
    San Jose Earthquakes 21.73%
    Draw 19.93%
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.43%
2-0 @ 7.18%
3-1 @ 7.04%
1-0 @ 6.41%
3-0 @ 5.36%
3-2 @ 4.63%
4-1 @ 3.94%
4-0 @ 3%
4-2 @ 2.59%
5-1 @ 1.77%
5-0 @ 1.35%
5-2 @ 1.16%
4-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 58.34%
1-1 @ 8.42%
2-2 @ 6.2%
0-0 @ 2.86%
3-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 19.93%
1-2 @ 5.53%
0-1 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-2 @ 2.47%
1-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 21.73%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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