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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 48.21%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Columbus Crew |
48.21% ( 2.82) | 25.43% ( -0.11) | 26.37% ( -2.72) |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( -1.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.61% ( -1.19) | 51.39% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.79% ( -1.05) | 73.2% ( 1.05) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.67% ( 0.77) | 21.33% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.71% ( 1.17) | 54.28% ( -1.17) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.8% ( -2.73) | 34.2% ( 2.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.11% ( -3.04) | 70.89% ( 3.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.77) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.78)3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.5)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.23)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 48.2% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.53)0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.45)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.38)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.29)Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.37% |
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