Nashville have been poor in front of goal this term, but they currently boast the best defensive record in MLS. We are backing the hosts to narrowly edge their visitors and come away with all three points at the end of the 90 minutes.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
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