A loss like the one they suffered in Vancouver cannot be good for the psyche of this Montreal team, who look dumbfounded away from home, while adjusting to the Losada style of play does not appear to be working.
The Revs have been a force for most of the campaign, and we believe their mixture of youth and experience in the middle of the field will do some damage against a Montreal team that look like a wounded animal right now.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
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