With both sides coming into the game with confidence after victories last time out, we anticipate a closely-fought encounter between two teams stocked with quality and cannot quite pick a winner, instead opting for a score draw in New York.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
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