The Revs and New York possess some of the best playmakers and strikers in the league, but they each tend to suffer breakdowns in discipline near the end of matches, which has forced them to share many points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.