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NY
Major League Soccer
May 1, 2022 at 6pm UK
Yankee Stadium
SJ

NY City
3 - 0
Earthquakes

Parks (74'), Pereira (78'), Gloster (88')
Callens (77'), Castellanos (80'), Rodriguez (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY City vs. Colorado
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Nashville vs. Earthquakes
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 3-2 San Jose Earthquakes

A week ago, these two teams showed a ton of potency in the attacking third, along with plenty of vulnerabilities at the back. They each have some lethal strikers who rarely miss in front of goal, but we are giving the edge to New York, who have a little more balance and structure to their lineup, whereas the Quakes are still searching for the right formula to keep winning consistently. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
65.77%18.05%16.18%
Both teams to score 61.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.84%31.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.42%52.58%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.1%8.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.58%30.42%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73%32.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23%68.77%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 65.77%
    San Jose Earthquakes 16.18%
    Draw 18.05%
New York City FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 8.4%
3-1 @ 7.67%
1-0 @ 6.95%
3-0 @ 6.78%
4-1 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 4.34%
4-0 @ 4.1%
4-2 @ 2.62%
5-1 @ 2.25%
5-0 @ 1.99%
5-2 @ 1.27%
4-3 @ 0.99%
6-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 65.77%
1-1 @ 7.86%
2-2 @ 5.38%
0-0 @ 2.87%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 18.05%
1-2 @ 4.44%
0-1 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-2 @ 1.84%
1-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 16.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: NY City 5-4 Toronto
Sunday, April 24 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 6-0 Salt Lake
Sunday, April 17 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 NY City
Saturday, April 2 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 0-2 Philadelphia
Saturday, March 19 at 5pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 4-1 Montreal
Saturday, March 12 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 NY City
Saturday, March 5 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 4-3 Seattle
Sunday, April 24 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-2 Nashville
Saturday, April 16 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 4-3 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 10 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-2 Austin
Sunday, April 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 20 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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