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Major League Soccer
Sep 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
FD

Philadelphia
1 - 1
Dallas

Sullivan (25')
Mbaizo (21'), Bueno (24')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Velasco (36')
Velasco (28'), Twumasi (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-0 Dallas

Subaru Park is one of the most challenging places for opposing teams to come away with three points, and this will be a match where both teams have a lot to play for, even though the Union have already clinched a playoff berth. The scoring depth of Philly should be enough to get them over the line against a Toros squad who do not have as many dependable attacking pieces.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Dallas and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 15.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawDallas
63.24% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 21% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 15.76% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 49.97% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.08% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)45.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)68.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)13.87% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.72% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)41.28% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.02% (0.076000000000001 0.08)41.98% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58% (0.065000000000001 0.07)78.41% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 63.24%
    Dallas 15.76%
    Draw 21%
Philadelphia UnionDrawDallas
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.69% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39%
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 63.24%
1-1 @ 9.99% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21%
0-1 @ 5.06% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.33% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 15.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-2 Philadelphia
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 NY Red Bulls
Monday, September 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-3 Philadelphia
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 1-3 Dallas
Thursday, September 21 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Seattle
Sunday, September 17 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 2-1 Dallas
Thursday, August 31 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-0 Austin
Sunday, August 27 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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