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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 51.54%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
51.54% ( 0.05) | 23.27% ( 0.03) | 25.19% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.62% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.85% ( -0.21) | 43.14% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.45% ( -0.2) | 65.54% ( 0.2) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( -0.06) | 16.8% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.23% ( -0.1) | 46.77% ( 0.1) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.26% ( -0.17) | 30.74% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33% ( -0.2) | 67% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.54% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 25.19% |
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