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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 29 | 7 | 43 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | -1 | 39 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 3 | 37 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 44 |
| 2 | Dallas | 29 | 7 | 43 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | -1 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Minnesota United |
55.3% ( 0.16) | 23.72% ( -0.06) | 20.98% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.95% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.51% ( 0.13) | 49.48% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.48% ( 0.11) | 71.52% ( -0.12) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.24% ( 0.11) | 17.75% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.56% ( 0.19) | 48.44% ( -0.19) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.95% ( -0.03) | 38.04% ( 0.03) |
