The Timbers are not as bad as their record may indicate, but they always seem to allow one too many quality scoring opportunities in their own third of the field. New York do not create a ton of chances in front of goal, but when they do, they have usually been able to make them count. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 19.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Portland Timbers
56.42%	24.51%	19.07%

Both teams to score 45.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.19%

54.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.89%

76.11%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.67%

19.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.9%

51.1%

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.83%

43.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.56%

79.43%

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 56.41%

Portland Timbers 19.07%

Draw 24.51%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Portland Timbers
1-0 @ 13.71% 2-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 5.19% 4-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 2.13% Other @ 3.76% Total : 56.41%	1-1 @ 11.52% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.51%	0-1 @ 7.01% 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-2 @ 2.94% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.07%