SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
34.25% ( -0.05) | 23.01% ( -0.02) | 42.73% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 64.66% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.51% ( 0.07) | 36.49% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.36% ( 0.08) | 58.63% ( -0.08) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% ( 0.01) | 21.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.42% ( 0.01) | 54.58% ( -0.02) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( 0.05) | 17.61% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.81% ( 0.09) | 48.19% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3.62% Total : 34.25% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.02% Total : 42.73% |
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