SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
43.58% ( -0.09) | 25.11% ( -0.03) | 31.31% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.62% ( 0.16) | 47.38% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.4% ( 0.15) | 69.6% ( -0.15) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.26% ( 0.03) | 21.74% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.09% ( 0.04) | 54.91% ( -0.04) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% ( 0.16) | 28.49% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.73% ( 0.2) | 64.27% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 43.58% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.31% |
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