SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | -10 | 34 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | -1 | 33 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | -9 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 29 | -10 | 32 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | -11 | 29 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | -14 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 62.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
62.25% ( 0.08) | 20.81% ( -0.01) | 16.94% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.08% ( -0.06) | 42.92% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.68% ( -0.05) | 65.32% ( 0.05) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.77% ( 0) | 13.22% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.02% ( 0.01) | 39.98% ( -0.01) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.33% ( -0.11) | 38.67% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.59% ( -0.11) | 75.41% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.71% 4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.16% Total : 62.24% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.81% | 0-1 @ 4.86% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 16.94% |
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