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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 38
Oct 3, 2021 at 3am UK
Empire Field
SJ

Vancouver
3 - 0
Earthquakes

White (26', 59', 73')
Owusu (19'), Jungwirth (57'), Brown (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Remedi (57'), Cardoso (79'), Salinas (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
43.99%25%31.02%
Both teams to score 56.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.01%46.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.77%69.23%
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62%21.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.63%54.37%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.51%28.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.74%64.26%
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 43.99%
    San Jose Earthquakes 31.02%
    Draw 25%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 9.4%
2-1 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 4.68%
3-0 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 1.8%
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 43.99%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.09%
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.65%
1-2 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 4.8%
1-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 31.02%

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