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National League North | Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
2 - 0
Farsley Celtic

Thewlis (3'), Day (7')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Farsley Celtic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 3-1 Hereford
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-1 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 22.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawFarsley Celtic
53.57% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 23.76% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 22.66% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.09% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.23% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)47.77% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.04% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)69.96% (0.023999999999987 0.02)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)17.76% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.55% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)48.45% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.55% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)35.44% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)72.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 53.56%
    Farsley Celtic 22.66%
    Draw 23.76%
Alfreton TownDrawFarsley Celtic
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.4%
3-1 @ 5.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 53.56%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 22.66%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Alfreton 3-1 Hereford
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 3-0 Alfreton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Warrington Town
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-3 Alfreton
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 4-0 Boston
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 0-0 Alfreton
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-1 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-4 Brackley Town
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-2 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-1 Banbury
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 0-1 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 4-0 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League North


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