Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.06) 
