Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
