SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
30.43% ( -0.08) | 25.52% ( -0.05) | 44.05% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.18% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.48% ( 0.18) | 49.52% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.45% ( 0.16) | 71.55% ( -0.16) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% ( 0.04) | 30.16% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.69% ( 0.04) | 66.31% ( -0.04) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.57% ( 0.14) | 22.43% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.05% ( 0.21) | 55.95% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 30.43% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 44.05% |
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