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National League North | Gameweek 21
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
The Jakemans Stadium

Boston
3 - 0
Leamington

Pollock (28', 40', 51')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Boston United and Leamington FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford Park Av 2-1 Boston
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 0-2 Peterborough Sports
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston United would win this match.

Result
Boston UnitedDrawLeamington FC
46.39% (-0.224 -0.22) 26.08% (0.2 0.2) 27.52% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.66% (-0.596 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.74% (-0.784 -0.78)53.26% (0.778 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.18% (-0.668 -0.67)74.81% (0.663 0.66)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-0.43900000000001 -0.44)22.93% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3% (-0.646 -0.65)56.69% (0.64 0.64)
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73% (-0.402 -0.4)34.26% (0.396 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.433 -0.43)70.96% (0.42700000000001 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Boston United 46.39%
    Leamington FC 27.52%
    Draw 26.08%
Boston UnitedDrawLeamington FC
1-0 @ 11.57% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.52% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 46.39%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.86% (0.237 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.41% (0.166 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 27.52%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 2-1 Boston
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 4-1 Boston
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 3-0 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 2-1 Kidderminster
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Peterborough Sports 1-1 Boston
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-0 Alfreton
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 0-2 Peterborough Sports
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 1-1 Leamington
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-0 Leamington
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 1-1 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 2-2 Leamington
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-1 Leamington
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North


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