SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Boston United win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston United | Draw | Tamworth |
29.71% ( 9.94) | 25.82% ( 3.09) | 44.47% ( -13.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.92% ( -4.16) | 51.08% ( 4.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.06% ( -3.76) | 72.93% ( 3.76) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% ( 6.37) | 31.47% ( -6.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.15% ( 6.76) | 67.85% ( -6.76) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( -6.84) | 22.89% ( 6.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.35% ( -11.23) | 56.65% ( 11.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston United | Draw | Tamworth |
| 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 2.43) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( 1.85)2-0 @ 4.82% ( 1.95)3-1 @ 2.74% ( 1.04)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.46)3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.93)Other @ 2.85% Total : 29.71% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 1.49) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 1.13)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.43)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.49) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.83)0-2 @ 7.83% ( -2.33)1-3 @ 4.45% ( -1.57)0-3 @ 3.85% ( -2.35)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.35)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -1.11)0-4 @ 1.42% ( -1.42)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.39)Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.47% |
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