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National League North | Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park

Brackley Town
2 - 1
Hereford

Stead (38'), Matwasa (46')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Evans (90+1')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chorley 0-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Hereford
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 48.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawHereford United
48.52% (0.417 0.42) 26.88% (-0.2 -0.2) 24.6% (-0.211 -0.21)
Both teams to score 46.05% (0.36 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.93% (0.559 0.56)58.08% (-0.55399999999999 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.26% (0.439 0.44)78.75% (-0.432 -0.43)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (0.443 0.44)24.02% (-0.438 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (0.624 0.62)58.28% (-0.61900000000001 -0.62)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.61% (0.124 0.12)39.39% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.92% (0.114 0.11)76.09% (-0.108 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 48.51%
    Hereford United 24.61%
    Draw 26.88%
Brackley TownDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 13.49% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.042 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 48.51%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.46% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.18% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 8.82% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 24.61%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chorley 0-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Kidderminster
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 0-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 0-3 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 2-1 Brackley Town
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 2-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Hereford
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-3 Gloucester City
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 3-1 Hereford
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Buxton
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 0-1 Hereford
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League North


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