Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-0 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fylde in this match.