SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Alfreton Town |
53.26% ( 0.08) | 24.42% ( -0.02) | 22.32% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.64% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.19% ( 0.02) | 50.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.3% ( 0.02) | 72.7% ( -0.02) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.98% ( 0.04) | 19.02% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.41% ( 0.06) | 50.59% ( -0.06) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.54% ( -0.04) | 37.47% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.75% ( -0.04) | 74.25% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 53.25% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 22.32% |
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