SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Chorley |
32.92% ( -0.23) | 25.71% ( 0.04) | 41.37% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.58% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.54% ( -0.21) | 49.46% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.5% ( -0.19) | 71.5% ( 0.19) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( -0.25) | 28.47% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.76% ( -0.31) | 64.24% ( 0.32) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.3% ( 0.01) | 23.7% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.19% ( 0.01) | 57.82% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.92% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.37% |
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