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National League North | Gameweek 31
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Throstle Nest

Farsley Celtic
1 - 0
Hereford

Allan (32')
F. Mulhern (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Farsley Celtic and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Curzon Ashton 5-2 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-0 Hereford
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farsley Celtic win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farsley Celtic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Farsley Celtic in this match.

Result
Farsley CelticDrawHereford United
38.35% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 25.67% (0.0010000000000012 0) 35.98% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 55.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)48.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.14% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)70.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.41% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)59.59% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)26.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Farsley Celtic 38.35%
    Hereford United 35.98%
    Draw 25.67%
Farsley CelticDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 9.1% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.32%
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.02%
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.35%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-2 @ 5.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.51%
1-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 35.98%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 5-2 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-1 Buxton
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-2 Bradford Park Av
Sunday, January 1 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-1 Farsley Celtic
Monday, December 26 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-0 Hereford
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-3 Banbury
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 0-1 Hereford
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-0 Hereford
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North


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