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National League North | Gameweek 38
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Throstle Nest

Farsley Celtic
0 - 3
Southport

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Anson (49'), Walton (68'), Hmami (77')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Farsley Celtic and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kidderminster 0-2 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 3-2 Southport
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.

Result
Farsley CelticDrawSouthport
28.65% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 23.33% (0.0010000000000012 0) 48.02% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.32% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)40.67% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.94% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)63.06% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)26.91% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.77% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)62.23% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (0.0019999999999953 0)17.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.56% (0.0010000000000048 0)47.44% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Farsley Celtic 28.65%
    Southport 48.02%
    Draw 23.32%
Farsley CelticDrawSouthport
2-1 @ 7.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.07%
2-0 @ 3.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 28.65%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 5.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.6%
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 48.02%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-2 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-2 Boston
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-2 Spennymoor
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-1 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-4 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-0 Farsley Celtic
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 3-2 Southport
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 4-1 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-0 Leamington
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 1-0 Southport
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 3-1 Southport
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 1-0 Southport
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League North


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