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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Buxton |
34.79% ( -0.17) | 26% ( 0.01) | 39.21% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.07% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.69% ( -0.08) | 50.31% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.74% ( -0.07) | 72.26% ( 0.07) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.28% ( -0.14) | 27.72% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.71% ( -0.18) | 63.28% ( 0.18) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( 0.05) | 25.2% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.07% ( 0.07) | 59.93% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.79% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 39.21% |
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