SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Leamington FC | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Gloucester City | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Brackley Town | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Blyth Spartans | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Curzon Ashton | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Hereford United | 6 | -2 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
44.59% ( -0.56) | 25.42% ( -0.07) | 29.99% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.71% ( 0.58) | 49.28% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.66% ( 0.52) | 71.34% ( -0.53) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( -0.02) | 22.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.57% ( -0.02) | 55.42% ( 0.01) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% ( 0.74) | 30.35% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.46% ( 0.88) | 66.54% ( -0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 44.59% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.99% |
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